Background: The Sahel, a semi-arid region stretching from the Atlantic Ocean to the Red Sea, faces severe challenges, including jihadist uprisings, displacement, and environmental crises. Burkina Faso, Niger, and Mali are destabilized by Al-Qaeda-linked JNIM and ISIS Sahel operations, displacing over 4.2 million people. Military coups since 2020 have weakened governance, worsened by desertification, farmer-herder…

Executive Summary This report examines the growing strategic partnership between China and Morocco, emphasizing their collaboration under the Belt and Road Initiative and shared geopolitical interests. It explores the implications of this relationship on regional dynamics, particularly in the context of the Western Sahara dispute and Morocco’s evolving foreign policy. The analysis highlights opportunities for…

Introduction The Russia-Africa Partnership Forum, initiated in 2019, represents an expanding collaboration aimed at strengthening economic, political, and security ties between Russia and African nations. While framed as a platform for development, the partnership raises concerns for Africa, given Russia’s focus on resource extraction, military engagement, and political influence. This report critically evaluates the consequences…

Israel’s Counter in the Red Sea Executive Summary This report examines the implications of a potential agreement between Israel and Somaliland, wherein Israel would recognize Somaliland as an independent entity in exchange for establishing a military base at the Port of Berbera. This arrangement is positioned within the broader geopolitical dynamics of the Horn of…

1. Executive Summary The recent general elections in Mozambique have sparked significant political turmoil as the ruling Frelimo party claims a landslide victory amid widespread allegations of electoral malpractice and oppression of opposition voices. The entire country has erupted in protests that have turned violent, leading to clashes between police and protesters in multiple locations.…

Executive Summary This Strategic Intelligence Report examines the potential involvement of Tanzania in the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and the broader geopolitical implications for key global players, including Russia, India, and China. Based on an extensive open-source intelligence investigation, the report delves into the strategic value of Tanzania’s ports and resources, with a particular…

Executive Summary The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) has recently adjusted the Zimbabwe Gold (ZiG) exchange rate against the US dollar by 42.55%. To match market realities, they have set the new rate at ZiG 243,902 per US dollar. This is the first official recalibration of the exchange rate since ZiG’s introduction in April 2024.…

Overview On the morning of September 17, 2024, the Malian capital, Bamako, experienced a coordinated terrorist attack targeting a gendarmerie school and the Modibo Keita International Airport. The attack was claimed by the Support Group for Islam and Muslims (JNIM), a terrorist organization linked to al-Qaeda. The attack marked a significant escalation in the Islamist…