Category: Conflict Intelligence
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Legal and Operational Challenges in Countering Extremism in Central Asia
Introduction Central Asia, comprising Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, is a region rich in demographic and historical complexity. Despite housing only 1% of the global population, its history spans from Palaeolithic societies to the dominance of nomadic empires. The region’s environmental significance, particularly in its ice core contributions to climate research, adds to its…
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The Haiti Crisis
Executive Summary This report analyzes Haiti’s escalating political, economic, and humanitarian crises, highlighting the role of gang violence in driving instability and violations of international law. It examines the impact of interventions by multilateral bodies, the USA, and Kenya, amid worsening conditions since the 2021 assassination of President Jovenel Moïse and a devastating earthquake. With…
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Post-Assad Syria and Regional Turmoil
Executive Summary Syria’s geopolitical landscape has undergone a seismic shift with the collapse of the Baathist regime and the fall of Damascus on December 8, 2024. The rapid dissolution of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) has created a power vacuum, heightening sectarian divisions, territorial disputes, and external interventions. The emergence of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)…
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Martial Law in South Korea
Executive Summary South Korea is facing a severe political and constitutional crisis following President Yoon Suk-yeol’s unexpected declaration of martial law. The decree, justified by alleged threats from domestic opposition forces, led to mass arrests, military deployments, and media censorship. However, swift rejection by South Korea’s parliament and growing public discontent forced President Yoon to…
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GEORGIAN PROTESTS ANALYSIS
1. Executive Summary The country of Georgia is facing widespread unrest as the government has decided to push back the accession talks with the European Union until 2028. Protestors and the police forces are clashing which has taken a violent turn with the former demanding membership in the EU. International pressure is growing, and key…
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Islamic Extremism in the Gulf Of Aden
Executive Summary Islamic extremism in the Gulf region has intensified, driven by incidents like the 2024 Israel-Iran confrontation and past attacks on critical energy infrastructure, underscoring vulnerabilities to drone and missile warfare. AQAP has increasingly utilized global events, such as Quran burnings and the October 7 Israel-Hamas conflict, to fuel its propaganda, encouraging both lone-wolf…
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Sudan’s Civil War
Introduction: A brutal civil war that began in April 2023 engulfed Sudan by April 2024, pitting the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), commanded by General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemeti). The conflict has resulted in a devastating humanitarian crisis, extensive destruction, and significant civilian…
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New Maritime Laws in the Philippines
Executive Summary The Philippines has introduced two pivotal maritime laws — the Philippines Maritime Zones Act and the Philippine Archipelagic Sea Lanes Act — aimed at reinforcing sovereignty and securing its waters in the South China Sea (SCS). These laws have intensified regional disputes, particularly with China and Malaysia, over the contested maritime territories. This…
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Boko Haram Attack on Chadian Military Base in Barkaram, Lake Chad Region
Incident Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024 Location: Barkaram, Lake Chad Region, Chad Perpetrators: Boko Haram (Suspected) Fatalities: 40 Chadian soldiers killed Executive Summary On October 27, 2024, a devastating attack targeted a Chadian military garrison in Barkaram, Lake Chad region, resulting in the deaths of 40 soldiers. The attack, suspected to have been carried out…
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Yeonpyeong island and Korean conflict
Executive summary The conflict surrounding Yeonpyeong Island in the Northern Limit Line (NLL) between North and South Korea has been a point of conflict for a very long time. The region has witnessed a series of military confrontations since the formation of the NLL in 1953. Since then, the island has witnessed military confrontations which…