Executive Summary The Myanmar Civil War took a dramatic turn with the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), allied with the People’s Defense Force (PDF), successfully capturing the strategic town of Pangwa near the Chinese border on October 19, 2024. This victory follows the capture of several critical positions, including key junta-aligned Border Guard Force (BGF) stations,…

1. Executive Summary The inter-border airstrikes conducted by Pakistan against Iran in the course of January 2024 mark a dangerous escalation of their situation, which hails back to the beginning of the Baloch insurgency. Pakistani airstrikes were made to hit the Baloch separatist groups within Iranian borders targeting the Balochistan Liberation Front (BLF) among others.…

Executive summary The situation along the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) has rapidly intensified. North Korea has destroyed critical inter-Korean infrastructure, accusing South Korea of drone incursions, while South Korea has responded with warning shots and increased surveillance. Both nations are on heightened military alert, with North Korea escalating its defensive posture. The potential for further…

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The South China Sea remains a significant arena of geopolitical tension, primarily driven by China’s expansive policies and military assertiveness in disputed territories. Despite the establishment of a non-binding Code of Conduct (CoC) with ASEAN, China’s actions have raised substantial concerns about regional stability. In response, ASEAN countries are advocating for the…

Executive Summary: Haiti is experiencing a severe escalation of gang violence, with armed groups expanding their control from urban centers into rural areas, leading to increased instability and conflict. The international community, through the Multinational Security Support mission, has pledged assistance, but deployment remains inadequate and under-resourced. To effectively address the crisis, it is crucial…

OVERVIEW The Indus Water Treaty (IWT) remains one of the most successful water-sharing agreements globally, forged between India and Pakistan in 1960 under the World Bank’s mediation. While the treaty has governed water distribution for over six decades, the climate crisis and changing geopolitical factors necessitate a review. With shifting precipitation patterns, increased demand, and…

Introduction The Islamic State (IS), commonly known as ISIS, has played a pivotal role in fueling instability across West Asia and North Africa (WANA). Despite losing significant territory in recent years, the group’s persistent influence continues to threaten regional and global security. This report explores IS’s origins, its enduring impact in WANA, and the evolving…

Executive Summary: Since Myanmar’s Military Junta (State Administration Council (SAC)) was formed by toppling the elected government in 2021, the country has been in a rage of undeclared civil wars with anti-coup forces strengthening their position and claiming areas from the Junta. The anti-Junta forces declined the peace offer and the promise of elections by…

Executive Summary: This is a multi-layered report regarding recent developments in West Asia that have been happening almost simultaneously. They have a little possibility of being coincidental. They are somehow connected through an invisible string of geopolitics. This report tries to make sense of these developments and connect as few dots. The report starts with…